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October 21



Todayinah Editor Editor says, what if John F. Kennedy had approved nuclear action in the Cuban Missiles Crisis? muses Jeff Provine on This Day in Alternate History Please note that the opinions expressed in this post do not necessarily reflect the views of the author(s). This story was published in the November 2010 edition of Changing the Times Magazine.

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In 1962, on this day at 10:00 AM, President John F. Kennedy met with Secretary of State Dean Rusk and Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara and approved the plan to threaten preemptive nuclear strike. Tensions between the United States and the Soviet Union had never been tauter.

Kennedy Approves Nuclear Action Since World War II, the two superpowers had checked one another and maintained aggressive military build-up, though the Americans found themselves greatly outpaced by the Russians as the '50s progressed. Russians first caught up by developing their own atomic weapons after the war.

A new story by Jeff ProvineIn '48 and '49, America and its allies had cowed the Russian attempt at fencing West Berlin with the Berlin Airlift, keeping them from leading world affairs. Korea had turned into a draw, though Communism continued to spread in places such as French Indochina. By '56, however, the USSR had come to the forefront with their launch of Sputnik.

The Russian lead in the Cold War struck closer to home when, in 1959, Castro and his system of nationalization overthrew Batista, just miles from the Florida coastline. While Cuba and the Soviet Union were establishing relations, the US moved forward with plans to establish missile bases in Turkey, which became operational in April of 1962. Just months later, the Soviet Union would begin its own missile bases in Cuba. In September of 1962, American U-2 high-altitude spy planes discerned these bases, and reports were presented to the president. On October 21, he made his decision for action.

Kennedy had considered the use of a naval quarantine, but a blockade was considered an act of war under international law. While the Russians might not dare consider it so great, they might also consider the action too little to be a threat to their activities. The Russians might even step up to the challenge with their own "Cuban Airlift" as a thumbed-nose toward the Americans. International embarrassment was the lesser of evils if missiles were to be launched from Cuba, but the Cold War had long been a game of nerves.

Monday, October 22, Kennedy gave a televised address about the discovery of the weapons. He concluded by telling the Soviet Union that America would strike if these bases were not disassembled immediately. Truman had authorized nuclear attacks on Japan as well as several key supply lines in Korea, and Kennedy would authorize attack on every known Soviet missile base, Cuban, Russian, or any other member of their bloc. He likened the situation to discovering a man with a gun, and he insisted Premier Khrushchev "put the gun down". If not, he would "shoot the gun-hand".

Internationally, the threat was taken in a variety of reactions. Many questioned validity of the spy photos, others applauded America for taking action, and far more feared what might come. Khrushchev wrote a letter of reply, saying, "I must say frankly that the measures indicated in your statement constitute a serious threat to peace and to the security of nations...We reaffirm that the armaments which are in Cuba, regardless of the classification to which they may belong, are intended solely for defensive purposes in order to secure [the] Republic of Cuba against the attack of an aggressor. I hope that the United States Government will display wisdom and renounce the actions pursued by you, which may lead to catastrophic consequences for world peace".

Kennedy replied that no nuke was merely defensive; Khrushchev scoffed and waited for America to blink. The two stood at an impasse for nearly a week until October 27, when Castro's forces shot down a U-2 spy plane. Kennedy noted the evidence of fully operational missile bases that, if merely defensive, would not need to shoot down spy planes. Khrushchev said the same about the American missiles in Turkey. While there may have been a diplomatic action to dismantle both, an accidental flight of a U-2 plane over Soviet airspace caused a dogfight between Soviet MIG fighters and American F-102s, whom Kennedy granted permission to fire.

The war began as the fighters fired nuclear-tipped missiles over the Bering Sea. Limited missile exchanges followed, destroying bases in the Soviet Union, Cuba, Europe, and the United States. Submarines were blown up by charges in both navies. After the horrific volley, utter devastation gave way to cries from the UN to stop the madness. World War 3 would last two days and cost thousands of lives, ultimately millions as the world began to deal with radioactive fallout.

The display of aggression also caused a worldwide movement for the banning of nuclear weapons. Through the course of the Sixties and early Seventies, the governments of the world would give up their atomic arms and return to heavy traditional weaponry for defense (China being the last, finally persuaded by Nixon's system of economic benefits). For countries developing new weapons, sanctions would slow them or military action would put a stop to the programs.

After a short era of good feelings, however, the Cold War would creep up again with the USSR moving into Afghanistan in 1979. The war would prove costly and ultimately contribute to the fall of the Soviet Union. As the only remaining superpower, the United States would undergo the extremely expensive position of policing the world and being aware of potential developers of nuclear programs. Under the administration of George W. Bush, America would occupy both Iraq and Iran under suspicion of weapons of mass destruction. Many fear that these costly wars may do to the US what Afghanistan did to the Soviets.


Entry posted by Guest Historian Jeff Provine Email the AuthorVisit the Authors Web Site © Jeff Provine, 2010-.
Story Tags Click on the hyperlinked metadata to surf the site! Permalinks: Post, Day. Browse Thread: Jeff Provine Blog Source: Jeff Provine’s Blog Labels: Kennedy, Cuba, Castro, Khruschev, Soviet Union.

Todayinah Editor Editor says, in reality Kennedy ordered the blockade. Several ships would test it, including a Soviet submarine that was shaken by US Navy depth charges, but eventually Khrushchev and Kennedy would agree to dismantle bases in Cuba in exchange for the closing of bases in Turkey and Italy.


Readers Comment Stan Brin commented on 2010-10-22 09:52:27 ~ "Tauter?" I have a tauter. She's 26 and works in LA.

Readers Comment Allen W. McDonnell commented on 2010-10-22 11:37:15 ~ Clearly the author has no idea what Nuclear Fallout is or how very limited damage from it is. Check the Chernobyl exclusion zone, where a million times any bomb fallout was dispersed and yet very few people died. Even the unprotected residents who were not given the proper iodine treatments suffered only thyroid problems, not a horrible Hollywood special effects death.

Facebook Comment Comment from William Jalet on Facebook: A lot of people even to this day don't know how close we really came!

Readers Comment Chris Oakley commented on 2010-10-22 15:14:29 ~ I have to agree with Mr. McDonnell. And Stan, your taste in puns is horrendous. :P

Readers Comment Jeff Provine commented on 2010-10-22 16:49:29 ~ Re: Fallout. In a wider scope, fallout is notorious for birth defects (see miscarriage and anomaly rates in Seattle in the months after Chernobyl, as well as others downwind on the jet stream). However, that is taking into account the personage of a fetus, which still has major legal ambiguity. Me, I like babies.

Readers Comment Eric Oppen commented on 2010-10-22 18:32:26 ~ In a world where nations have "given up nuclear weapons" there's a real strong incentive to keep them around _Sub Rosa,_ to use in emergencies.

Facebook Comment Comment from Christopher Irelan on Facebook: Sorry but you lost me very early in the story with this incorrect fact, "in 1959 Castro and his Communist Regime overthrew Batista in Cuba" Castro wasn't communist at that point he was a friend of the United States and it was with our backing that he overthrew Batista.......It was only after Castro felt that he had been snubbed by IKE that he started talking to the USSR.

Facebook Comment Comment from Robert Baker on Facebook: I agree Christopher.We often forget this fact.Even Uncle Ho was pro-US after WW2 until we stabbed him in the back.

Facebook Comment Comment from Christopher Irelan on Facebook: Your right Uncle Ho was a very good friend of ours so good in fact that we gave him all the armes and equipment that we had stored for the invasion of Japan which he used to begin his fight with the French......The French held this over our head to the point that we ended up paying the French for there war in Indo-China

Readers Comment Eric Lipps commented on 2010-10-23 00:27:31 ~ "Thousands" were killed? Whatever the toll from radioactive fallout (which might be greatest not from direct human deaths but from damage to crops, leading to food shortages and, in the Soviet Union at least, outright starvation), even a "limited" exchange would likely have killed at least hundreds of thousands, more likely millions, from blast-related effects, since so many of the bases likely to be targeted were located near major population centers. It's worth remembering that at Hiroshima, it was expected that the bomb would take out only the port facilities--but it leveled most of the city. Nagasaki did bstter only because its bomb missed its target zone--yet even so, half the city went up. And the bombs which would have been used in 1962 were far more powerful.

Readers Comment Jeff Provine commented on 2010-10-23 16:30:55 ~ Plus the spread effects of leukemia and increase of cancer rates.

Readers Comment Scott Palter commented on 2010-10-26 22:59:42 ~ Cuban CP backed Batista which is why Ike allowed Fidel's revolution to be armed and paid for out of Florida and Louisiana. There were either 5 or 6 Communists with Fidel. Che + GF, Raoul Castro + GF, Fidel's GF were all Moscow line Communists. The sixth and still questionable is Fidel. He may have been a Communist then. He may still not be one today. Absent telepathic powers unknowable. What is known is that Fidel fell out with his main followers who were educated, middle class 'white'[light skinned - race line in Cuba was a trifle different than Dixie as it was a mixture of skin tone and social class rather than one drop of blood]. These people had backed Fidel because he promised to overthrow Batista and then hold elections. When Fidel punted on the elections he was left with a faction of his small guerrilla army and a mass of kids. He needed cadres to serve under him and the Cuban CP needed a patron with Batista gone. What followed was an alliance of convenience. Fidel then fell out with the US for various reasons and declared himself a Leninist. Maybe. Or maybe he was a populist caudillo who found the Leninist label convenient to get Moscow's support. Finally the Soviet response to a move by us on Cuba would have been to take West Berlin.







© Today in Alternate History, 2013-. All characters appearing in this work are fictitious. Any resemblance to real persons, living or dead, is purely coincidental.